Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/22 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +26.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -2.0 | -1.3 | +1.4 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 23% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +24.9 | -3.8 | -21.7 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 19% | 13% | 25% | -6.5 | +26.6 | -13.1 | -7.1 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 41% | 7% | 20% | -1.8 | -3.5 | +1.0 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 34% | 37% | 6% | 23% | +18.6 | -2.1 | -10.6 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 50% | 31% | 4% | 15% | +3.1 | -0.5 | -2.2 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 3,000 | 56% | 27% | 3% | 13% | -6.3 | +10.6 | -1.2 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 45% | 40% | 3% | 12% | -14.2 | +6.0 | +7.6 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 28% | 54% | 4% | 14% | -12.6 | +0.4 | +12.0 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 19% | 58% | 8% | 15% | -3.2 | +26.2 | -22.8 | -0.2 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 2% | 92% | 0% | 7% | +5.6 | +4.8 | -0.6 | -9.9 |