Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/22 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -1.9 | -0.2 | +0.4 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +22.5 | -0.8 | -22.3 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 21% | 13% | 25% | -4.8 | +23.1 | -12.0 | -6.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 39% | 7% | 20% | -3.6 | -2.6 | +4.0 | +2.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 32% | 38% | 9% | 22% | +20.7 | -3.1 | -13.5 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 29% | 4% | 14% | +1.0 | +1.3 | -2.6 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 3,000 | 55% | 29% | 3% | 14% | -4.5 | +9.6 | -0.6 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 47% | 40% | 3% | 11% | -15.6 | +6.9 | +8.3 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 54% | 5% | 12% | -13.1 | -0.9 | +10.0 | +3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 18% | 57% | 8% | 17% | -2.3 | +27.0 | -21.8 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 1% | 92% | 0% | 7% | +5.3 | +5.0 | -0.9 | -9.5 |