Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/23 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +52.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +19.0 | -4.4 | -6.8 | -7.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 37% | 22% | 20% | 21% | -1.2 | +4.5 | -1.5 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Wakutsu Akira | 37% | 24% | 19% | 20% | -2.1 | +13.2 | -11.6 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 33% | 13% | 19% | -8.6 | -18.0 | +35.8 | -9.2 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 20% | 36% | 16% | -0.2 | +13.9 | -11.7 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 29% | 25% | 16% | -6.8 | +27.0 | -4.6 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 56% | 18% | 6% | +52.6 | -23.3 | -17.6 | -11.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 72% | 19% | 6% | 2% | +1.2 | -0.8 | -0.6 | +0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 4,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 76% | 17% | 5% | 2% | -4.9 | +14.9 | -0.5 | -9.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 65% | 30% | 4% | 1% | +3.8 | -10.8 | -3.7 | +10.6 |
| South 3 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 17% | 4% | 2% | -8.8 | -10.7 | +26.8 | -7.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 67% | 15% | 16% | 2% | +5.8 | -2.0 | -14.8 | +11.0 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 84% | 9% | 4% | 3% | -3.0 | +2.0 | -36.4 | +37.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 77% | 10% | 0% | 13% | -7.2 | -12.6 | -2.6 | +22.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 1,100 | 67% | 9% | 0% | 24% | +16.8 | -7.8 | -0.8 | -8.2 |