Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +25.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -13.4 | +20.3 | -4.3 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 7,700 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 17% | 40% | 22% | 22% | -0.5 | +17.8 | -17.8 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 57% | 11% | 20% | +24.8 | -11.7 | -8.1 | -5.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 45% | 8% | 18% | -1.6 | +6.5 | -2.4 | -2.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 52% | 6% | 16% | -22.4 | +25.4 | +0.1 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 8% | 82% | 3% | 7% | -7.6 | +0.8 | -1.6 | +8.4 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 3% | 86% | 3% | 8% | +13.2 | 0.0 | -11.6 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 89% | 2% | 7% | -11.2 | -6.5 | +27.6 | -9.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 84% | 7% | 7% | -3.4 | -1.7 | +8.9 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 80% | 9% | 8% | -11.4 | +0.2 | -20.5 | +31.6 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 1% | 86% | 1% | 13% | +13.0 | +2.7 | -12.3 | -3.5 |