Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -11.1 | +23.2 | -6.4 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 7,700 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 17% | 41% | 20% | 22% | -2.5 | +18.6 | -15.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 58% | 11% | 19% | +26.9 | -15.8 | -6.9 | -4.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 31% | 41% | 10% | 17% | -0.7 | +10.3 | -5.9 | -3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 28% | 53% | 5% | 15% | -23.4 | +24.1 | +1.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 82% | 3% | 7% | -9.0 | +0.7 | -0.4 | +8.7 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 2% | 86% | 3% | 9% | +13.8 | +0.7 | -11.8 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 89% | 2% | 6% | -11.0 | -5.7 | +27.9 | -11.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 85% | 6% | 6% | -2.8 | -2.6 | +8.0 | -2.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 82% | 9% | 7% | -11.8 | +0.4 | -20.5 | +31.8 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 86% | 1% | 12% | +12.6 | +2.3 | -12.1 | -2.9 |