Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/25 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -16.5 | -0.4 | +15.7 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 25% | 34% | 25% | +3.6 | -6.2 | +6.3 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 21% | 40% | 23% | -5.6 | +25.4 | -15.0 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 14% | 39% | 27% | 21% | -0.8 | +17.1 | -13.3 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 58% | 16% | 15% | -16.1 | -2.3 | -6.4 | +24.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 4% | 54% | 12% | 30% | -0.9 | +7.3 | -3.1 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 63% | 10% | 24% | -2.3 | -28.9 | -1.2 | +32.4 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 21% | 9% | 69% | -2.2 | -12.2 | -3.0 | +17.4 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 0% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -18.3 | +1.1 | +3.4 | +13.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.7 | +5.4 | -2.6 | -2.1 |