Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/25 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+73.0pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +34.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -16.9 | +0.3 | +15.9 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 24% | 35% | 26% | +5.0 | -6.7 | +6.2 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 20% | 41% | 22% | -5.5 | +26.0 | -14.5 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 15% | 39% | 26% | 19% | -2.4 | +19.1 | -14.1 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 60% | 16% | 13% | -15.7 | -5.6 | -5.9 | +27.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 53% | 12% | 32% | -1.1 | +8.7 | -3.1 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 64% | 10% | 24% | -1.8 | -30.4 | -1.9 | +34.1 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 19% | 8% | 71% | -2.4 | -10.7 | -2.8 | +16.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -17.7 | +0.4 | +3.8 | +13.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.8 | +5.4 | -2.7 | -1.9 |