Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/25 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+55.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -7.2 | -2.7 | +16.2 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 23% | 37% | 20% | -3.2 | +7.5 | -3.8 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,600 from Seiichi Kondo | 17% | 28% | 33% | 22% | -2.8 | -3.3 | +1.5 | +4.6 |
| East 3 | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 24% | 35% | 24% | +11.6 | +1.2 | -0.6 | -12.2 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 22% | 26% | 34% | 19% | +0.5 | -25.3 | +28.6 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 17% | 9% | 63% | 10% | -3.1 | -4.5 | +3.8 | +3.9 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 12% | 7% | 70% | 11% | -1.1 | -23.1 | +0.6 | +23.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 0% | 69% | 22% | -5.3 | +3.4 | +2.7 | -0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 0% | 80% | 15% | +23.5 | -4.0 | +7.2 | -26.8 |