Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

2/25 Game 2

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+55.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +28.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kotaro Uchikawa● Seiichi Kondo● Jun Murakami● Kazunori Takizawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kotaro● Seiichi● Jun● Kazunori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSeiichi Kondo
1st-place chance
Jun Murakami
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Seiichi Kondo
Expected pt change
Jun Murakami
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,20024%25%24%27%-7.2-2.7+16.2-6.3
East 2Exhaustive draw20%23%37%20%-3.2+7.5-3.8-0.6
East 2, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 1,600 from Seiichi Kondo17%28%33%22%-2.8-3.3+1.5+4.6
East 3Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa17%24%35%24%+11.6+1.2-0.6-12.2
East 4Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami22%26%34%19%+0.5-25.3+28.6-3.9
South 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami17%9%63%10%-3.1-4.5+3.8+3.9
South 2Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami12%7%70%11%-1.1-23.1+0.6+23.6
South 3Exhaustive draw9%0%69%22%-5.3+3.4+2.7-0.7
South 4, 1 honbaSeiichi Kondo tsumo 8,0004%0%80%15%+23.5-4.0+7.2-26.8

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)