Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/26 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -3.1 | -1.8 | +6.0 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 23% | 29% | 25% | -0.4 | -6.7 | -1.1 | +8.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 19% | 27% | 31% | -15.4 | +1.3 | -3.1 | +17.2 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 20% | 22% | 45% | +0.6 | +14.3 | +1.1 | -16.0 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 15% | 30% | 25% | 30% | +16.9 | -18.2 | +1.8 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 18% | 27% | 31% | -4.6 | +8.2 | -2.9 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 25% | 25% | 30% | -1.3 | -36.4 | -2.6 | +40.3 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 1% | 14% | 77% | -13.2 | -6.9 | +44.6 | -24.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 0% | 65% | 31% | -4.2 | +5.5 | +1.0 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 1% | 0% | 74% | 24% | +2.9 | -5.2 | +12.2 | -9.9 |