Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/26 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -3.9 | -2.7 | +7.7 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 23% | 30% | 25% | -1.6 | -3.3 | -2.5 | +7.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 21% | 21% | 28% | 30% | -12.5 | -1.9 | -2.2 | +16.6 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 13% | 18% | 25% | 44% | -0.6 | +15.3 | +1.2 | -15.9 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 14% | 30% | 27% | 29% | +15.3 | -18.3 | -0.5 | +3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 18% | 26% | 34% | -1.9 | +6.8 | -2.5 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 23% | 25% | 31% | -1.7 | -35.8 | -0.6 | +38.1 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 1% | 16% | 74% | -13.2 | -6.5 | +40.3 | -20.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 0% | 60% | 36% | -3.9 | +5.8 | +3.1 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 0% | 74% | 24% | +2.6 | -4.9 | +12.4 | -10.1 |