Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/26 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +42.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -16.7 | +0.5 | +16.4 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 24% | 38% | 24% | -12.3 | -4.1 | -0.4 | +16.9 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 9% | 20% | 36% | 36% | -0.5 | +0.9 | +13.8 | -14.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 18% | 49% | 24% | -4.9 | -4.5 | -13.2 | +22.6 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 7% | 16% | 34% | 43% | 0.0 | -10.9 | -1.0 | +11.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 5% | 10% | 30% | 54% | -17.7 | +24.7 | -4.2 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 22% | 25% | 51% | -5.7 | -7.9 | -3.4 | +17.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 11% | 17% | 72% | -0.3 | +5.5 | -1.3 | -3.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 15% | 17% | 67% | -1.3 | +42.7 | -1.6 | -39.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 65% | 17% | 18% | +3.9 | -0.8 | -2.6 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 69% | 15% | 17% | -2.6 | +3.3 | -13.5 | +12.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 76% | 3% | 20% | +2.2 | +10.4 | -4.9 | -7.8 |