Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
2/26 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -19.3 | +1.3 | +15.4 | +2.6 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 14% | 25% | 36% | 25% | -12.6 | -2.2 | +0.6 | +14.2 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 8% | 21% | 35% | 36% | +0.6 | -0.1 | +13.4 | -13.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 20% | 48% | 24% | -5.1 | -6.2 | -12.9 | +24.2 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 6% | 17% | 33% | 44% | +0.8 | -9.8 | -0.8 | +9.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 6% | 11% | 30% | 53% | -18.5 | +23.0 | -1.8 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 21% | 28% | 50% | -4.8 | -7.2 | -4.3 | +16.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 12% | 19% | 69% | -0.7 | +5.7 | -3.1 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 15% | 17% | 68% | -0.1 | +42.6 | -2.7 | -39.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 66% | 15% | 19% | +3.1 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -2.3 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 70% | 14% | 15% | -2.5 | +2.3 | -13.8 | +14.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 77% | 3% | 20% | +1.9 | +10.4 | -4.6 | -7.6 |