Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/1 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -1.3 | -11.6 | +13.4 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 23% | 19% | 33% | 25% | +25.7 | -2.3 | -4.7 | -18.7 |
| East 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 1,100 | 43% | 15% | 28% | 14% | +2.5 | +0.3 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 47% | 15% | 25% | 13% | -0.6 | -7.0 | +2.2 | +5.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 12% | 27% | 16% | -12.9 | -6.6 | +38.0 | -18.5 |
| South 1 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 1,600 from Murakami Jun | 24% | 7% | 64% | 5% | -5.6 | -3.7 | +6.1 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 16% | 4% | 75% | 4% | +2.6 | +17.0 | -18.4 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,400 | 27% | 12% | 54% | 7% | -6.5 | -11.7 | +22.7 | -4.4 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 1% | 85% | 4% | -9.6 | +23.2 | -4.9 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 6% | 6% | 85% | 2% | -9.9 | +8.0 | +7.7 | -5.8 |