Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/1 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +13.2 | -15.2 | +0.3 | +1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 33% | 15% | 24% | 27% | -1.0 | -18.4 | +0.3 | +19.1 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi | 31% | 8% | 22% | 40% | -2.0 | +2.3 | -0.9 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 29% | 9% | 22% | 40% | -6.5 | -9.3 | +18.4 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 5% | 35% | 36% | -10.9 | -6.7 | +30.3 | -12.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 13% | 2% | 64% | 21% | -12.3 | -5.7 | +30.0 | -12.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 3% | 1% | 90% | 7% | +8.1 | -2.2 | -4.9 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 1% | 89% | 7% | +3.2 | +1.8 | +0.5 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 4% | 1% | 92% | 3% | -20.7 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +20.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | +3.6 | +1.2 | -0.4 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 94% | 5% | -2.3 | +3.9 | -2.2 | +0.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 92% | 7% | -1.6 | +3.6 | +0.6 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | -2.9 | +37.3 | -0.9 | -33.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 5% | 94% | 1% | +27.0 | -16.8 | -0.2 | -9.9 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -0.9 | -10.3 | -5.2 | +16.4 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -2.1 | -6.0 | -2.7 | +10.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -7.6 | +2.6 | -2.3 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -5.2 | -7.5 | +5.3 | +7.4 |