Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/1 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 24% | 24% | 26% | 27% | +18.0 | -15.4 | -1.1 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 36% | 16% | 24% | 24% | -3.8 | -17.4 | -0.5 | +21.6 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 31% | 8% | 22% | 39% | -4.2 | +3.5 | -0.1 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 10% | 22% | 40% | -5.4 | -9.0 | +17.5 | -3.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 6% | 34% | 37% | -9.3 | -7.3 | +28.6 | -12.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 3% | 61% | 22% | -13.3 | -7.6 | +32.9 | -12.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 2% | 1% | 91% | 7% | +6.7 | -1.1 | -5.4 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 1% | 88% | 8% | +5.3 | +1.5 | +0.9 | -7.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 4% | 1% | 92% | 3% | -20.4 | -0.3 | +0.9 | +19.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 94% | 6% | +2.8 | +2.1 | -2.1 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 92% | 6% | -1.7 | +3.1 | +0.2 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | -2.0 | +4.0 | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 1% | 92% | 7% | -2.1 | +36.7 | -0.5 | -34.2 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 5% | 93% | 2% | +26.3 | -16.1 | -0.6 | -9.7 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -1.6 | -9.3 | -4.7 | +15.6 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -2.5 | -6.3 | -2.8 | +11.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -6.9 | +3.0 | -2.1 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 5% | -5.1 | -8.5 | +5.2 | +8.5 |