Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/2 Game 1
Makoto Sawazaki finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu, which moved Makoto Sawazaki's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Makoto Sawazaki 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Makoto Sawazaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | -10.1 | -7.3 | +24.0 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 20% | 43% | 21% | +4.3 | -5.6 | +0.3 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 17% | 43% | 22% | +4.6 | -2.6 | +3.1 | -5.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Makoto Sawazaki ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 21% | 15% | 46% | 18% | +1.9 | -0.3 | -16.1 | +14.5 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 16% | 31% | 29% | -3.4 | -0.2 | +4.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 16% | 36% | 27% | +8.3 | -2.8 | -2.6 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 14% | 34% | 25% | +24.0 | -6.6 | -10.0 | -7.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Makoto Sawazaki tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 11% | 22% | 18% | -16.2 | -8.0 | -6.1 | +30.3 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 8% | 19% | 43% | -3.3 | -12.5 | +19.2 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Makoto Sawazaki ron 12,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 27% | 2% | 32% | 39% | -11.7 | -15.8 | -12.1 | +39.7 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Makoto Sawazaki | 4% | 0% | 4% | 92% | +15.7 | -0.6 | -14.4 | -0.7 |