Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/2 Game 1
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -10.7 | -3.2 | +20.7 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 21% | 40% | 20% | +1.7 | -3.9 | +1.6 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 19% | 42% | 21% | +4.9 | -6.0 | +4.1 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 21% | 14% | 45% | 19% | +2.0 | +1.5 | -17.6 | +14.1 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 17% | 31% | 29% | -1.9 | -1.7 | +5.5 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 22% | 16% | 35% | 27% | +7.5 | -2.6 | -1.8 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 6,000 | 27% | 15% | 33% | 24% | +22.0 | -5.8 | -9.8 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 10% | 22% | 19% | -14.0 | -8.3 | -6.3 | +28.6 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 7% | 19% | 42% | -5.5 | -11.9 | +19.5 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 26% | 2% | 33% | 39% | -10.2 | -16.3 | -12.9 | +39.4 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Sawazaki Makoto | 4% | 0% | 4% | 92% | +15.2 | -0.5 | -14.2 | -0.5 |