Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/4 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+82.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -5.9 | -2.6 | +3.4 | +5.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 23% | 27% | 30% | -4.7 | -13.0 | -8.3 | +26.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Kondo Seiichi | 16% | 13% | 20% | 51% | -0.2 | -12.7 | -1.7 | +14.6 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 6% | 14% | 67% | -8.8 | -4.9 | -8.0 | +21.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 3% | 5% | 88% | +1.9 | -2.5 | -2.2 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 2% | 4% | 90% | +14.6 | -4.5 | -4.0 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 8% | 1% | 4% | 87% | -4.3 | -6.4 | +7.2 | +3.6 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 4% | 93% | -13.3 | +30.6 | -11.5 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 5% | 4% | 89% | -2.7 | +2.2 | +2.3 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Asakura Koshin | 1% | 7% | 5% | 87% | 0.0 | +0.3 | -12.3 | +12.0 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +0.1 | +2.1 | -15.0 | +12.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.1 | -20.0 | +2.2 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.0 | -4.4 | +6.1 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -11.6 | +36.7 | -11.6 | -13.5 |