Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/4 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+82.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +24.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -4.5 | -4.8 | +2.8 | +6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 21% | 26% | 31% | -5.0 | -13.6 | -5.7 | +24.4 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Seiichi Kondo | 16% | 12% | 22% | 50% | -1.1 | -10.5 | -4.3 | +15.8 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 6% | 14% | 67% | -7.8 | -6.6 | -7.6 | +22.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 2% | 5% | 88% | +3.1 | -1.9 | -4.1 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 2% | 4% | 90% | +12.7 | -4.6 | -2.5 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 7% | 1% | 4% | 88% | -4.3 | -5.3 | +7.9 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 5% | 92% | -12.3 | +28.9 | -12.3 | -4.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 4% | 4% | 90% | -3.0 | +3.7 | +2.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 2% | 6% | 5% | 87% | -0.8 | +0.5 | -11.7 | +12.0 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 98% | +0.3 | +1.6 | -15.1 | +13.2 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.0 | -19.9 | +2.2 | +8.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.8 | -5.1 | +6.5 | +1.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -11.7 | +37.2 | -11.8 | -13.6 |