Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 16,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +89.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +2.1 | -8.1 | +4.0 | +2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 27% | 21% | 27% | 26% | -4.5 | -3.7 | -0.5 | +8.7 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 18% | 26% | 34% | -15.8 | +46.4 | -13.4 | -17.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 12% | 53% | 17% | 18% | +2.2 | -22.2 | +21.4 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 16% | 34% | 32% | 19% | -7.4 | +2.9 | -4.0 | +8.5 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 36% | 27% | 26% | -3.3 | -7.1 | -4.3 | +14.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 30% | 23% | 37% | +16.1 | -2.9 | -6.6 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Draw | 18% | 29% | 22% | 31% | -8.8 | +5.0 | -4.1 | +7.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 32% | 19% | 38% | -8.2 | +27.9 | -8.4 | -11.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 62% | 11% | 22% | -2.7 | -0.2 | -3.6 | +6.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 63% | 9% | 25% | +2.0 | -9.2 | +4.4 | +2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 6% | 50% | 13% | 31% | -5.5 | +17.8 | -9.9 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 80% | 1% | 18% | -4.9 | -6.7 | -1.7 | +13.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 67% | 1% | 32% | +89.7 | -29.9 | -18.7 | -41.2 |