Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+50.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 16,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +90.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +0.3 | -5.7 | +1.8 | +3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -2.9 | -8.1 | +3.0 | +7.9 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 17% | 27% | 34% | -14.7 | +48.3 | -17.8 | -15.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 12% | 53% | 14% | 20% | +1.2 | -22.6 | +20.6 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 14% | 33% | 30% | 23% | -5.1 | +0.9 | +0.8 | +3.4 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 34% | 30% | 24% | -6.4 | -5.6 | -6.1 | +18.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 29% | 24% | 37% | +16.7 | -2.9 | -5.8 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 28% | 22% | 33% | -8.0 | +5.9 | -5.8 | +7.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 12% | 31% | 18% | 39% | -9.5 | +28.4 | -7.9 | -11.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,100 | 5% | 62% | 10% | 23% | -2.0 | -1.3 | -2.3 | +5.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 63% | 9% | 24% | +1.9 | -10.0 | +4.2 | +3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 7% | 48% | 14% | 32% | -5.5 | +18.2 | -11.0 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 79% | 1% | 19% | -5.2 | -4.0 | -1.1 | +10.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 70% | 1% | 29% | +90.0 | -31.5 | -18.9 | -39.5 |