Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/5 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+87.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +51.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -25.3 | +23.9 | +1.3 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 44% | 25% | 23% | +33.7 | -16.6 | -7.5 | -9.5 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 29% | 30% | 21% | 20% | -0.3 | +0.7 | -15.6 | +15.2 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 29% | 12% | 28% | -11.3 | -12.5 | -10.1 | +33.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 18% | 18% | 7% | 58% | +3.8 | -2.5 | -0.5 | -0.8 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 16% | 6% | 59% | +51.1 | -18.8 | -11.3 | -21.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 71% | 5% | 2% | 23% | +29.8 | -5.7 | -7.6 | -16.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 96% | 1% | 0% | 3% | -7.7 | -3.8 | +9.9 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 93% | 1% | 1% | 4% | +4.3 | -0.2 | -5.3 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 97% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +9.0 | -16.7 | +5.0 | +2.8 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.5 | -15.8 | +16.6 | -1.3 |