Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/5 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+87.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +52.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -23.7 | +26.2 | -0.3 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 47% | 21% | 21% | +29.4 | -16.9 | -6.4 | -6.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 27% | 33% | 20% | 20% | +3.1 | +0.4 | -16.2 | +12.7 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 31% | 11% | 27% | -11.3 | -12.0 | -10.4 | +33.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 18% | 18% | 5% | 59% | +2.0 | -4.0 | +1.4 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 15% | 6% | 60% | +52.0 | -17.9 | -10.1 | -23.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 70% | 5% | 3% | 22% | +30.5 | -7.4 | -7.4 | -15.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 96% | 1% | 0% | 3% | -6.7 | -3.3 | +8.0 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 94% | 1% | 0% | 5% | +3.0 | -0.3 | -4.5 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +9.4 | -15.9 | +4.2 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.5 | -16.4 | +17.0 | -1.1 |