Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/5 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -3.0 | +8.0 | -6.1 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 22% | 30% | 23% | 25% | +15.5 | -2.8 | +0.2 | -13.0 |
| East 3 | Draw | 33% | 27% | 22% | 18% | +8.7 | +2.2 | -8.7 | -2.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 41% | 27% | 15% | 17% | -53.5 | -0.8 | +0.6 | +53.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 22% | 13% | 58% | +30.2 | -7.6 | -8.5 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 21% | 21% | 12% | 46% | -2.3 | +24.2 | -20.7 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 39% | 5% | 41% | -9.2 | +2.3 | +6.5 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 42% | 6% | 42% | -3.9 | +13.6 | -8.1 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 66% | 0% | 30% | -1.0 | +27.7 | -15.2 | -11.5 |