Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/5 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +27.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -0.2 | +6.8 | -5.3 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 29% | 22% | 25% | +15.3 | -2.5 | -0.6 | -12.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 26% | 22% | 19% | +8.4 | +3.5 | -6.4 | -5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 42% | 27% | 16% | 14% | -54.1 | -1.8 | -1.7 | +57.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 22% | 12% | 59% | +32.0 | -8.2 | -7.1 | -16.8 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 20% | 12% | 44% | -3.8 | +24.4 | -21.4 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 17% | 37% | 4% | 42% | -11.1 | +4.9 | +7.4 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 45% | 6% | 39% | -3.0 | +11.8 | -8.1 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 3% | 66% | 1% | 30% | -1.0 | +27.7 | -15.6 | -11.1 |