Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

3/8 Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +54.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance	Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance	Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change	Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change
East 1	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,700	27%	24%	24%	25%	-9.3	+0.4	+9.7	-0.8
East 2	Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi	20%	26%	31%	24%	+3.4	-9.0	+3.2	+2.4
East 3	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki	21%	19%	33%	27%	-3.3	+1.2	+8.3	-6.2
East 3, 1 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi	19%	19%	41%	21%	+0.6	-9.8	+9.5	-0.3
East 3, 2 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki	19%	13%	49%	19%	-0.6	+1.1	+9.6	-10.1
East 3, 3 honba	Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000	17%	12%	58%	14%	-2.9	-3.1	-6.2	+12.3
East 4	Draw	16%	11%	53%	20%	+3.5	-2.0	-2.4	+0.8
East 4, 1 honba	Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	18%	12%	50%	20%	+0.5	-1.2	-40.0	+40.7
East 4, 2 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki	17%	11%	15%	57%	-2.3	0.0	+41.4	-39.1
South 1	Draw	16%	11%	54%	19%	-7.1	-6.7	+8.9	+4.9
South 2, 1 honba	Draw	8%	7%	65%	20%	+3.9	+4.4	-5.7	-2.6
South 2, 2 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina	12%	11%	57%	21%	-18.2	-5.3	+23.1	+0.4
South 3	Fujisaki Satoshi ron 16,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro	1%	1%	88%	10%	-9.8	+67.2	-53.4	-4.0
South 4	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000	2%	69%	13%	16%	-7.4	-28.1	+54.9	-19.4

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)