Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

3/8 Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +55.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance	Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance	Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance	Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance	Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change	Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change	Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change	Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change
East 1	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,700	25%	23%	25%	27%	-8.4	+0.6	+9.9	-2.0
East 2	Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki	19%	23%	32%	25%	+2.4	-3.3	+0.8	+0.1
East 3	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma	21%	21%	32%	25%	-2.4	-1.3	+8.2	-4.5
East 3, 1 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki	19%	19%	39%	23%	+0.3	-9.2	+10.3	-1.3
East 3, 2 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma	18%	13%	49%	19%	+0.1	+1.1	+9.8	-10.9
East 3, 3 honba	Naoki Setokuma tsumo 4,000	15%	13%	59%	13%	-4.3	-3.7	-5.8	+13.8
East 4	Exhaustive draw	14%	12%	54%	20%	+5.6	-3.1	-3.0	+0.4
East 4, 1 honba	Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	18%	12%	50%	20%	-0.2	-1.5	-40.4	+42.1
East 4, 2 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma	15%	10%	15%	60%	-1.5	-0.5	+40.7	-38.8
South 1	Exhaustive draw	16%	10%	52%	22%	-6.8	-5.0	+8.4	+3.4
South 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	10%	7%	62%	21%	+4.2	+2.2	-2.7	-3.8
South 2, 2 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara	13%	9%	59%	19%	-19.2	-4.2	+21.6	+1.8
South 3	Satoshi Fujisaki ron 16,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	1%	1%	88%	10%	-9.7	+68.0	-53.8	-4.6
South 4	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000	2%	69%	13%	16%	-7.7	-28.0	+55.2	-19.5

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)