Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

3/8 Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+59.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +54.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Uchikawa Kotaro● Mizuhara Akina● Fujisaki Satoshi● Setokuma Naoki0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Uchikawa● Mizuhara● Fujisaki● Setokuma
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Fujisaki Satoshi
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Setokuma Naoki
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Fujisaki Satoshi
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Setokuma Naoki
Expected pt change
East 1Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 2,70027%24%24%25%-9.3+0.4+9.7-0.8
East 2Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi20%26%31%24%+3.4-9.0+3.2+2.4
East 3Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki21%19%33%27%-3.3+1.2+8.3-6.2
East 3, 1 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi19%19%41%21%+0.6-9.8+9.5-0.3
East 3, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki19%13%49%19%-0.6+1.1+9.6-10.1
East 3, 3 honbaSetokuma Naoki tsumo 4,00017%12%58%14%-2.9-3.1-6.2+12.3
East 4Draw16%11%53%20%+3.5-2.0-2.4+0.8
East 4, 1 honbaSetokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro18%12%50%20%+0.5-1.2-40.0+40.7
East 4, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki17%11%15%57%-2.30.0+41.4-39.1
South 1Draw16%11%54%19%-7.1-6.7+8.9+4.9
South 2, 1 honbaDraw8%7%65%20%+3.9+4.4-5.7-2.6
South 2, 2 honbaUchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina12%11%57%21%-18.2-5.3+23.1+0.4
South 3Fujisaki Satoshi ron 16,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro1%1%88%10%-9.8+67.2-53.4-4.0
South 4Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,0002%69%13%16%-7.4-28.1+54.9-19.4

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)