Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/8 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,200 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -1.5 | +0.8 | +9.1 | -8.4 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 23% | 25% | 31% | 21% | +7.2 | -2.7 | +1.3 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 28% | 22% | 32% | 19% | +8.4 | -0.6 | -8.0 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 22% | 25% | 18% | -10.6 | +40.3 | -8.1 | -21.7 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 21% | 58% | 16% | 5% | -2.0 | +6.2 | -5.2 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 16% | 66% | 12% | 6% | +8.6 | -1.8 | -2.8 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 66% | 10% | 4% | +0.5 | -14.4 | +15.5 | -1.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 26% | 48% | 21% | 5% | -9.8 | -12.0 | +39.8 | -18.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 24% | 60% | 1% | +17.1 | -9.2 | -5.6 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 18% | 53% | 1% | -4.5 | -0.3 | -5.9 | +10.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 6,400 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 28% | 22% | 48% | 3% | -3.0 | -16.2 | +30.6 | -11.3 |