Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/8 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,200 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 24% | 26% | 27% | 23% | -0.5 | -0.6 | +8.2 | -7.1 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 25% | 24% | 30% | 21% | +7.1 | -0.5 | -1.5 | -5.1 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 29% | 23% | 30% | 19% | +6.8 | -0.7 | -4.5 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 23% | 25% | 18% | -9.7 | +38.2 | -8.6 | -20.0 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Saki Kurosawa | 22% | 57% | 16% | 5% | -1.9 | +7.0 | -4.7 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 67% | 12% | 4% | +6.5 | -1.3 | -3.2 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 68% | 10% | 5% | +1.8 | -13.3 | +14.2 | -2.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 26% | 51% | 20% | 4% | -9.4 | -13.5 | +41.2 | -18.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 24% | 61% | 1% | +16.6 | -8.2 | -6.6 | -1.9 |
| South 4 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 6,000 | 28% | 19% | 52% | 1% | -3.1 | -1.7 | -5.1 | +9.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 6,400 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 29% | 21% | 48% | 2% | -3.8 | -15.7 | +30.3 | -10.8 |