Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/9 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +23.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.4 | +9.1 | -1.2 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 31% | 24% | 24% | -4.7 | +20.8 | -8.9 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 48% | 17% | 18% | -3.9 | -1.6 | -1.6 | +7.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 13% | 48% | 16% | 23% | +21.7 | -16.1 | -2.8 | -2.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 34% | 15% | 22% | -3.5 | -3.0 | +4.7 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 28% | 30% | 18% | 24% | -0.6 | +9.6 | 0.0 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 38% | 17% | 18% | -6.1 | +7.7 | +3.6 | -5.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 47% | 19% | 15% | -9.3 | +23.7 | -8.1 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 75% | 10% | 7% | -8.0 | +2.8 | +1.6 | +3.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 78% | 9% | 8% | -7.4 | -4.1 | +19.5 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 77% | 15% | 6% | -0.5 | +9.1 | -4.2 | -4.4 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 1% | 91% | 4% | 5% | +4.9 | +7.2 | +3.9 | -15.9 |