Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/9 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -7.8 | +10.4 | -1.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 31% | 23% | 25% | -5.6 | +19.5 | -5.6 | -8.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 48% | 18% | 18% | -2.4 | -2.1 | -2.3 | +6.8 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 14% | 46% | 19% | 21% | +22.5 | -16.6 | -4.6 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 31% | 32% | 15% | 22% | -3.2 | -2.7 | +1.8 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 28% | 30% | 16% | 25% | -2.1 | +9.7 | +1.3 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 25% | 38% | 17% | 19% | -6.7 | +9.5 | +5.5 | -8.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 48% | 20% | 14% | -8.9 | +22.7 | -7.7 | -6.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 76% | 11% | 7% | -7.8 | +2.8 | +0.3 | +4.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 79% | 9% | 8% | -7.2 | -6.2 | +21.1 | -7.6 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 74% | 17% | 7% | +0.2 | +11.7 | -6.7 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 93% | 3% | 4% | +4.2 | +6.5 | +4.9 | -15.6 |