Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/9 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +36.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -6.8 | +11.8 | -1.1 | -3.9 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 34% | 23% | 23% | -5.2 | -12.9 | -5.7 | +23.8 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 23% | 20% | 41% | +36.6 | -8.4 | -21.2 | -7.0 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 44% | 16% | 9% | 32% | -4.5 | -0.8 | -23.0 | +28.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 30% | 11% | 2% | 57% | -0.5 | +8.3 | -6.3 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 3,000 | 29% | 14% | 1% | 56% | +7.9 | -2.5 | -1.2 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 38% | 13% | 1% | 48% | -8.4 | +10.0 | -1.9 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 30% | 19% | 1% | 51% | +7.9 | -1.3 | +6.1 | -12.6 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 42% | 19% | 2% | 38% | +0.9 | -6.4 | -4.6 | +10.1 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 11% | 0% | 49% | +30.6 | -9.5 | -0.6 | -20.5 |