Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/9 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+58.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +38.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 28% | 24% | 24% | -4.8 | +9.6 | -1.4 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 34% | 23% | 23% | -6.7 | -13.2 | -5.4 | +25.2 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 22% | 19% | 42% | +38.8 | -9.1 | -21.1 | -8.7 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 45% | 16% | 8% | 31% | -7.5 | -0.1 | -21.8 | +29.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 29% | 12% | 2% | 58% | +0.4 | +8.1 | -7.6 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 3,000 | 28% | 14% | 1% | 57% | +7.7 | -3.1 | -1.1 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 36% | 12% | 1% | 51% | -7.7 | +11.2 | -1.5 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 28% | 20% | 1% | 51% | +9.7 | -2.1 | +5.7 | -13.3 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 45% | 19% | 2% | 35% | -0.9 | -6.4 | -4.0 | +11.3 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 11% | 0% | 49% | +30.7 | -9.5 | -0.6 | -20.6 |