Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/11 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 5 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +53.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,800 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +13.1 | -5.3 | -2.6 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 1,100 | 35% | 20% | 24% | 21% | -1.9 | +5.6 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 33% | 25% | 20% | 22% | +22.7 | -4.0 | -18.7 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai ron 6,400 from Nikaido Aki | 54% | 17% | 10% | 18% | +0.4 | +17.3 | -17.6 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 54% | 27% | 4% | 16% | -4.4 | -4.4 | +28.8 | -20.0 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 52% | 27% | 14% | 8% | -0.4 | -35.5 | +35.5 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 50% | 7% | 36% | 8% | +2.2 | -4.2 | +7.3 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 51% | 2% | 42% | 5% | -4.2 | -0.9 | +7.6 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 43% | 1% | 53% | 3% | -3.3 | -3.5 | +1.3 | +5.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 0% | 59% | 6% | -14.6 | -14.6 | -9.9 | +39.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 24% | 0% | 52% | 24% | -7.2 | -0.3 | -7.7 | +15.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki | 20% | 0% | 39% | 41% | +0.8 | -0.3 | -25.4 | +24.9 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 83% | +53.8 | -2.9 | -12.4 | -38.5 |