Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/12 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+76.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +40.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +19.9 | +0.5 | -20.4 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 39% | 24% | 13% | 24% | -2.5 | -2.0 | +6.8 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 23% | 17% | 23% | -9.8 | -20.7 | -9.6 | +40.0 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 25% | 10% | 9% | 56% | -0.2 | +1.2 | -14.6 | +13.6 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 7% | 4% | 70% | -12.4 | -8.1 | -7.8 | +28.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 4% | 1% | 1% | 94% | -0.1 | -3.1 | +2.6 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 96% | +32.1 | -9.7 | -8.9 | -13.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 1% | 1% | 79% | -5.7 | +7.7 | -4.3 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 1% | 0% | 86% | -2.4 | +2.4 | +1.4 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 2% | 0% | 85% | -2.8 | +0.6 | -1.4 | +3.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 1% | 1% | 90% | +2.6 | -4.0 | -1.8 | +3.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 7% | 0% | 0% | 93% | -1.1 | +9.0 | -5.7 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | -3.0 | -2.0 | -2.1 | +7.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.2 | +2.9 | +0.2 | -3.4 |