Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/12 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +33.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -6.7 | +1.6 | +3.4 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 21% | 24% | 29% | 26% | +13.1 | -12.9 | +0.5 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 29% | 17% | 30% | 25% | +0.5 | +23.2 | -25.1 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,800 from Kobayashi Go | 31% | 32% | 13% | 25% | -0.1 | -3.9 | -14.6 | +18.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 26% | 7% | 39% | -6.4 | -3.4 | +19.8 | -10.0 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 27% | 15% | 32% | -14.3 | -13.1 | +32.8 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 18% | 38% | 29% | +33.5 | -17.0 | -8.1 | -8.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 43% | 8% | 28% | 22% | -5.0 | -2.0 | +9.2 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 36% | 7% | 37% | 21% | +32.0 | -5.4 | -22.0 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 84% | 1% | 5% | 10% | -2.7 | -8.3 | -6.9 | +17.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 78% | 0% | 5% | 17% | +19.3 | -5.3 | +12.2 | -26.2 |