Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
3/12 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -6.9 | +1.3 | +4.8 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 21% | 26% | 28% | 25% | +12.5 | -14.5 | -1.3 | +3.3 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 15% | 27% | 27% | +0.3 | +25.7 | -25.3 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,800 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 32% | 12% | 25% | +0.3 | -4.4 | -13.3 | +17.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 27% | 7% | 39% | -4.9 | -4.9 | +20.7 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 26% | 16% | 32% | -16.9 | -11.3 | +33.3 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 18% | 40% | 28% | +34.3 | -17.9 | -9.6 | -6.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 8% | 28% | 22% | -4.4 | -2.1 | +9.3 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 36% | 7% | 37% | 20% | +30.7 | -6.3 | -22.9 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 82% | 1% | 4% | 13% | -0.8 | -6.9 | -6.1 | +13.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 0% | 4% | 16% | +18.3 | -5.7 | +12.5 | -25.1 |