Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/5 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -11.4 | +18.5 | -3.3 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 39% | 22% | 23% | -1.2 | -22.5 | +0.7 | +23.0 |
| East 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 16% | 21% | 22% | 41% | +1.9 | +24.0 | -23.4 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 15% | 39% | 9% | 37% | +3.5 | +1.9 | -2.1 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 42% | 8% | 33% | +35.2 | -13.4 | -9.3 | -12.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 46% | 26% | 5% | 22% | -27.3 | +0.7 | -1.9 | +28.5 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 19% | 26% | 5% | 50% | -8.1 | -0.5 | -1.6 | +10.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari | 12% | 22% | 4% | 63% | -17.0 | +0.3 | +14.0 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 20% | 7% | 69% | +5.2 | -0.4 | -11.2 | +6.4 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 3% | 13% | 1% | 83% | +0.7 | -5.4 | -0.1 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 7% | 1% | 90% | -0.2 | +3.3 | -6.5 | +3.5 |