Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/6 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+77.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Jun Murakami ron 18,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +41.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -8.8 | +9.5 | -0.7 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 3,000 | 19% | 31% | 25% | 24% | -3.9 | +10.1 | -5.8 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 18,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 15% | 40% | 21% | 24% | +0.3 | +41.4 | -38.4 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 78% | 3% | 12% | -0.6 | +4.3 | -2.8 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 7% | 81% | 3% | 10% | -0.9 | -20.1 | -1.3 | +22.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 61% | 3% | 27% | -1.4 | -1.0 | +5.4 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 7,700 from Takaharu Ooi | 9% | 61% | 4% | 25% | -2.3 | +0.6 | +18.1 | -16.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 10% | 64% | 9% | 17% | -0.4 | +0.9 | -21.6 | +21.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 63% | 3% | 27% | -3.8 | -4.0 | +3.7 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 7% | 58% | 4% | 31% | -16.7 | +21.2 | +1.5 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 81% | 1% | 16% | +4.5 | -0.4 | -2.8 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 81% | 2% | 15% | -8.3 | +13.7 | -1.6 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 2,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 94% | 0% | 6% | +5.1 | +0.3 | -5.0 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 96% | 1% | 4% | +2.7 | +7.7 | -5.6 | -4.8 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -18.1 | -7.1 | +26.2 | -1.1 |