Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/6 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+77.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Murakami Jun ron 18,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -9.3 | +13.0 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 35% | 23% | 24% | -2.5 | +7.1 | -1.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 18,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 17% | 41% | 21% | 21% | +1.1 | +39.7 | -39.5 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 75% | 3% | 12% | -2.3 | +5.7 | -1.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 7% | 81% | 3% | 9% | -1.2 | -21.3 | -1.5 | +24.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 60% | 3% | 27% | -2.5 | -1.0 | +5.1 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu | 9% | 60% | 4% | 27% | -0.8 | +0.7 | +17.7 | -17.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 11% | 63% | 8% | 18% | -1.4 | +2.6 | -21.9 | +20.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 8% | 64% | 2% | 26% | -3.0 | -3.4 | +2.8 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro | 7% | 59% | 2% | 32% | -17.0 | +18.4 | +3.5 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 2% | 80% | 2% | 16% | +5.5 | +0.4 | -3.4 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 81% | 2% | 15% | -9.7 | +14.9 | -1.7 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 2,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 94% | 1% | 5% | +5.9 | -0.4 | -6.2 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 96% | 0% | 4% | +2.5 | +7.9 | -4.7 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -18.1 | -7.1 | +25.9 | -0.6 |