Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -13.8 | +19.7 | -2.9 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 16% | 40% | 21% | 23% | +9.5 | -4.4 | -2.8 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 38% | 20% | 21% | -2.5 | +25.3 | -16.4 | -6.4 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 62% | 8% | 13% | +21.0 | -3.4 | -4.0 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 28% | 58% | 6% | 7% | +32.6 | -10.0 | -23.8 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 62% | 33% | 1% | 4% | +31.1 | -16.5 | -7.5 | -7.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 92% | 7% | 0% | 1% | -3.0 | +13.0 | +3.0 | -13.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 89% | 11% | 0% | 0% | +0.2 | -11.5 | -7.6 | +18.8 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 96% | 3% | 0% | 1% | +0.5 | -0.7 | -3.5 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -0.9 | -1.1 | -0.9 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 7,800 | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -3.9 | -5.8 | -2.9 | +12.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 97% | 0% | 0% | 3% | +0.1 | +6.4 | +0.4 | -7.0 |