Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/8 Game 1
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -15.7 | +24.3 | -5.5 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 42% | 21% | 23% | +12.3 | -5.8 | -1.6 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 37% | 20% | 20% | -4.8 | +25.6 | -16.7 | -4.1 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 62% | 8% | 14% | +23.0 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 30% | 57% | 6% | 8% | +30.2 | -8.5 | -23.5 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000 | 60% | 34% | 1% | 5% | +32.3 | -17.9 | -5.7 | -8.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 93% | 6% | 1% | 1% | -3.6 | +14.3 | +2.3 | -13.0 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 88% | 12% | 0% | 0% | +1.1 | -11.4 | -8.6 | +18.8 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 96% | 3% | 0% | 1% | -0.2 | -1.1 | -2.6 | +3.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | -0.6 | -1.9 | -0.9 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -4.0 | -5.0 | -2.8 | +11.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 96% | 1% | 0% | 4% | +0.3 | +6.4 | +0.5 | -7.1 |