Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/8 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+50.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +49.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 23% | 25% | +4.4 | +0.6 | -2.9 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 25% | 23% | 23% | +4.5 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 33% | 24% | 22% | 21% | -5.3 | -20.3 | -3.6 | +29.2 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 13% | 18% | 43% | +1.2 | -20.9 | +17.4 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 5% | 27% | 43% | +23.2 | -5.8 | -10.2 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 46% | 3% | 19% | 33% | +9.6 | +0.7 | -8.2 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 56% | 3% | 13% | 28% | -3.1 | -1.9 | +6.5 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 3% | 16% | 27% | -5.8 | +29.9 | -11.5 | -12.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 7,800 | 54% | 11% | 13% | 22% | -9.7 | +25.8 | -9.1 | -7.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 27% | 11% | 21% | -8.8 | -23.0 | +47.3 | -15.5 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 32% | 11% | 45% | 12% | -1.6 | +14.3 | +2.6 | -15.4 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Maruyama Kanako | 28% | 16% | 49% | 7% | -49.4 | +3.3 | +5.0 | +41.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 16% | 60% | 22% | -6.3 | +49.6 | -22.2 | -21.1 |