Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/9 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+66.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +53.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -15.6 | +14.0 | -0.3 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,200 from Hinata Aiko | 16% | 35% | 25% | 24% | +0.9 | -5.4 | -12.3 | +16.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 16% | 29% | 17% | 38% | -1.9 | +9.2 | -4.2 | -3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 37% | 15% | 34% | -12.0 | -13.5 | -10.3 | +35.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 18% | 7% | 70% | -3.8 | -1.8 | +11.4 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 6% | 18% | 10% | 66% | -8.2 | +3.8 | +2.6 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 19% | 10% | 70% | +27.1 | -16.3 | -10.2 | -0.6 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 6,000 | 8% | 8% | 10% | 74% | -12.7 | -7.8 | +25.4 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 8% | 19% | 68% | -10.6 | -10.6 | +42.9 | -21.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 2% | 70% | 27% | +22.2 | -12.6 | -3.8 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 6% | 0% | 74% | 20% | -10.7 | -6.7 | -36.5 | +53.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +1.3 | -0.4 | -3.6 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +0.1 | -2.8 | +5.6 | -2.9 |