Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Sawazaki Makoto finished 1st (+86.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Sawazaki Makoto's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.1 | -17.9 | +17.3 | +2.7 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 22% | 15% | 37% | 26% | +1.5 | +29.9 | -29.2 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 32% | 18% | 26% | -8.9 | -17.7 | +34.5 | -7.9 |
| East 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 17% | 19% | 43% | 21% | -0.4 | -8.0 | -1.4 | +9.8 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 6,400 from Hagiwara Masato | 17% | 15% | 41% | 27% | -17.3 | -0.5 | +22.2 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 7% | 12% | 64% | 17% | -23.0 | -0.6 | -1.5 | +25.0 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 0% | 8% | 58% | 33% | -0.4 | +10.6 | +0.7 | -10.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 1% | 13% | 62% | 24% | -11.3 | -8.2 | -4.9 | +24.3 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 3% | 48% | 48% | +2.5 | -17.7 | +27.1 | -11.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 83% | 17% | -11.2 | +2.0 | -4.7 | +13.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 73% | 27% | -1.0 | -0.4 | -3.8 | +5.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 65% | 35% | -0.9 | -1.5 | -17.7 | +20.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 0% | 24% | 76% | -0.3 | -0.2 | -22.0 | +22.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.1 | -1.1 | +2.2 | -1.0 |