Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/12 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+81.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +49.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -17.8 | -7.4 | -7.7 | +32.9 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Wakutsu Akira | 14% | 17% | 18% | 52% | +13.0 | -14.2 | -2.5 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 18% | 10% | 17% | 56% | -0.2 | -16.7 | -1.6 | +18.5 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 13% | 3% | 9% | 75% | +2.6 | -2.0 | +0.7 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000 | 13% | 3% | 8% | 76% | +49.1 | -8.4 | -15.9 | -24.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 2% | 3% | 34% | +1.2 | -0.5 | -2.3 | +1.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 60% | 2% | 3% | 35% | +5.4 | -0.3 | -1.2 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 68% | 1% | 3% | 28% | +27.2 | -8.0 | -5.4 | -13.8 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 93% | 0% | 1% | 6% | -6.8 | -6.3 | +16.5 | -3.4 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Wakutsu Akira | 92% | 0% | 2% | 6% | +4.7 | -4.8 | -0.1 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | -2.6 | -1.5 | -7.7 | +11.9 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 94% | 0% | 0% | 6% | -35.1 | -7.1 | -6.4 | +48.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 0% | 0% | 79% | +40.0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -36.9 |