Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/12 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+81.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +48.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -18.3 | -8.2 | -8.0 | +34.5 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Akira Wakutsu | 12% | 17% | 18% | 53% | +14.3 | -15.9 | -0.6 | +2.2 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 19% | 10% | 16% | 56% | +0.7 | -17.8 | -1.8 | +18.9 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 3% | 10% | 74% | +2.6 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 3% | 9% | 74% | +48.4 | -9.5 | -16.7 | -22.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 1% | 3% | 34% | +1.3 | +0.1 | -1.2 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 1% | 4% | 33% | +5.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 68% | 1% | 3% | 28% | +26.8 | -7.0 | -5.3 | -14.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 1% | 1% | 5% | -7.5 | -6.2 | +16.3 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Akira Wakutsu | 92% | 0% | 2% | 6% | +4.7 | -5.6 | +0.7 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 96% | 0% | 1% | 3% | -2.8 | -1.0 | -9.0 | +12.8 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | -34.1 | -7.5 | -5.8 | +47.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 78% | +39.5 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -36.4 |