Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/13 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+71.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +52.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -18.2 | +17.3 | +0.2 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 14% | 36% | 25% | 25% | +0.3 | -1.6 | -4.8 | +6.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 13% | 37% | 21% | 29% | -15.3 | -19.7 | +52.4 | -17.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 14% | 67% | 13% | -4.2 | +11.5 | -5.7 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 4% | 22% | 61% | 13% | +1.3 | +23.5 | -0.1 | -24.7 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 39% | 56% | 3% | +27.7 | -7.6 | -10.1 | -10.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki | 13% | 37% | 47% | 2% | -8.5 | +6.3 | +2.7 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 6% | 42% | 50% | 2% | -15.4 | -9.1 | +24.2 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 16% | 82% | 1% | -3.4 | -10.2 | +18.5 | -5.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 0% | +6.4 | -0.8 | -2.1 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,900 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.2 | -1.8 | -1.1 | +5.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,900 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -1.7 | +0.6 | -4.7 | +5.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +10.5 | -3.0 | +1.2 | -8.7 |