Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/13 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -16.9 | -8.7 | -7.7 | +33.2 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 12% | 17% | 19% | 52% | -1.3 | +30.3 | -25.7 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 36% | 8% | 44% | +2.0 | +2.0 | -3.3 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 13% | 37% | 7% | 43% | +8.6 | -3.1 | -7.1 | +1.7 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 15% | 34% | 5% | 46% | +8.4 | +1.0 | -5.2 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 35% | 3% | 41% | -1.0 | +2.7 | 0.0 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 18% | 38% | 3% | 41% | -3.1 | -4.6 | -0.8 | +8.5 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Setokuma Naoki | 15% | 33% | 2% | 50% | +1.1 | +18.8 | 0.0 | -19.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 56% | 3% | 26% | -4.4 | +9.3 | -2.0 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 68% | 2% | 20% | +17.7 | -8.5 | -2.1 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 59% | 2% | 17% | -4.7 | +6.3 | -7.7 | +6.1 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 12% | 70% | 0% | 18% | +3.9 | +22.9 | -0.4 | -26.4 |