Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/13 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+67.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -19.2 | -8.1 | -7.4 | +34.7 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 13% | 17% | 18% | 53% | -1.1 | +30.8 | -25.4 | -4.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 37% | 8% | 45% | +0.9 | +1.3 | -0.3 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 12% | 38% | 8% | 42% | +9.3 | -2.4 | -9.2 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 35% | 5% | 46% | +10.0 | +0.1 | -4.9 | -5.2 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 36% | 3% | 40% | -2.3 | +4.4 | -2.1 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 18% | 39% | 2% | 40% | -2.0 | -8.7 | +1.2 | +9.5 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Naoki Setokuma | 14% | 30% | 3% | 53% | +0.1 | +20.2 | -0.4 | -19.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 14% | 56% | 3% | 27% | -3.6 | +11.4 | -2.5 | -5.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 71% | 2% | 19% | +18.0 | -8.4 | -3.4 | -6.2 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 21% | 60% | 2% | 17% | -5.1 | +5.8 | -6.3 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 11% | 72% | 0% | 17% | +4.4 | +22.0 | -0.6 | -25.8 |