Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/15 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 1,600 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -0.5 | +5.9 | +0.5 | -5.9 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 28% | 25% | 21% | +32.2 | -18.8 | -7.8 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 53% | 14% | 17% | 17% | -0.2 | -19.4 | -2.2 | +21.8 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 50% | 6% | 14% | 30% | -3.0 | +2.3 | -30.1 | +30.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 1,500 | 38% | 5% | 3% | 54% | +3.7 | -1.3 | -0.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 41% | 4% | 3% | 53% | -20.3 | +16.6 | -2.6 | +6.2 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 22% | 8% | 3% | 68% | +0.1 | +9.3 | -2.4 | -6.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 3,000 | 24% | 13% | 3% | 60% | -3.8 | +10.0 | -1.4 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 20% | 3% | 54% | -7.2 | +2.5 | -0.5 | +5.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 21% | 3% | 60% | -4.6 | -6.2 | +2.2 | +8.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 13% | 3% | 72% | -14.2 | -16.6 | +37.5 | -6.8 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 7% | 14% | 70% | -6.7 | -2.4 | -5.5 | +14.6 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 1,300 from Naoki Setokuma | 2% | 2% | 2% | 94% | +4.9 | -21.1 | +15.4 | +0.9 |