Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/15 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,600 from Hinata Aiko | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.1 | +5.5 | +1.0 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 29% | 25% | 24% | +33.7 | -19.2 | -6.1 | -8.4 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 51% | 13% | 19% | 17% | +1.4 | -19.4 | -2.6 | +20.6 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 51% | 6% | 16% | 27% | -7.4 | +2.2 | -29.7 | +34.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 1,500 | 34% | 4% | 3% | 59% | +9.0 | -0.8 | -2.0 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 44% | 4% | 3% | 50% | -22.1 | +16.5 | -3.5 | +9.1 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 21% | 8% | 3% | 69% | +0.8 | +10.3 | -1.8 | -9.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 14% | 3% | 58% | -3.6 | +8.0 | -3.0 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 22% | 19% | 2% | 56% | -7.8 | +3.3 | +1.8 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 17% | 21% | 3% | 59% | -3.0 | -7.4 | +1.5 | +8.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 12% | 3% | 72% | -15.5 | -14.8 | +37.3 | -7.0 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 7% | 15% | 69% | -5.5 | -4.8 | -4.2 | +14.5 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 2% | 2% | 3% | 93% | +3.7 | -19.6 | +14.4 | +1.5 |