Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/16 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+70.7pt). The game was decided in East 1, 2 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +44.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +3.8 | -5.5 | -2.3 | +4.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 21% | 23% | 28% | +7.8 | -0.6 | -4.5 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 33% | 22% | 19% | 26% | +44.6 | -15.6 | -11.9 | -17.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 72% | 8% | 9% | 11% | -1.7 | +19.5 | -17.9 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 70% | 15% | 5% | 10% | +0.8 | +4.5 | -5.7 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 72% | 15% | 4% | 9% | -0.8 | -6.6 | -4.0 | +11.4 |
| East 3 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 71% | 12% | 3% | 14% | +6.0 | +0.7 | -7.1 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 78% | 9% | 1% | 12% | +4.1 | -1.3 | +3.3 | -6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 85% | 7% | 1% | 7% | -3.9 | -4.7 | -3.8 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 82% | 6% | 1% | 11% | -1.5 | -13.6 | -3.1 | +18.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 81% | 1% | 1% | 18% | -3.4 | -1.9 | +2.7 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 1,500 | 76% | 1% | 1% | 22% | +10.6 | +1.3 | -5.4 | -6.5 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | +4.5 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -4.0 |