Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/16 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.4 | -28.9 | +0.4 | +32.0 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 9% | 22% | 50% | +11.4 | -7.6 | -3.1 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 6% | 19% | 49% | +3.0 | -2.1 | -3.9 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 28% | 5% | 16% | 51% | +8.8 | -2.3 | -5.2 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 4% | 12% | 50% | +10.3 | -7.0 | +0.7 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 44% | 3% | 11% | 42% | -10.6 | -2.6 | -5.1 | +18.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 1% | 6% | 67% | +2.8 | +2.3 | -1.9 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 2% | 7% | 61% | -1.4 | +3.2 | -1.0 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 31% | 2% | 6% | 61% | -5.8 | -2.3 | -10.8 | +18.9 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 11% | 0% | 2% | 87% | -2.8 | -17.8 | +22.1 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 10% | 0% | 6% | 84% | +0.9 | +5.3 | -11.9 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 16,000 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 96% | -4.5 | +36.4 | -24.2 | -7.7 |