Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/16 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+59.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +31.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.4 | -28.6 | +1.0 | +31.0 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 9% | 22% | 49% | +13.5 | -7.7 | -5.4 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 27% | 6% | 19% | 49% | +1.9 | -3.2 | -2.2 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 28% | 4% | 15% | 52% | +9.8 | -0.5 | -7.3 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 36% | 4% | 10% | 50% | +9.0 | -8.2 | +2.2 | -3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 44% | 2% | 10% | 43% | -12.6 | -1.2 | -3.5 | +17.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 25% | 2% | 8% | 66% | +4.9 | +1.6 | -3.2 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 2% | 7% | 60% | -2.0 | +4.4 | -1.7 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 30% | 3% | 7% | 60% | -5.4 | -4.1 | -9.6 | +19.2 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 11% | 0% | 2% | 87% | -2.9 | -18.1 | +22.4 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 10% | 0% | 6% | 84% | +1.3 | +5.7 | -12.7 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 96% | -4.9 | +36.5 | -24.0 | -7.6 |