Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/19 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+71.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +54.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -12.6 | -7.7 | +25.4 | -5.1 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 19% | 43% | 22% | +31.6 | -16.6 | -8.0 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 10% | 35% | 18% | -11.2 | -9.7 | +29.7 | -8.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 5% | 62% | 11% | -2.3 | +5.9 | +0.5 | -4.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 9,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 19% | 6% | 65% | 9% | -1.7 | -22.0 | -4.0 | +27.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 18% | 2% | 59% | 21% | +2.9 | +17.1 | +6.2 | -26.1 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 20% | 4% | 69% | 6% | -2.9 | +12.0 | +3.3 | -12.3 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 13% | 6% | 76% | 4% | -18.5 | +54.8 | -21.3 | -14.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 47% | 44% | 2% | -9.5 | +31.3 | -17.2 | -4.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 85% | 13% | 1% | -3.2 | +9.5 | -3.8 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 93% | 7% | 0% | -2.0 | -1.7 | +2.9 | +0.8 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 93% | 6% | 0% | +35.1 | -1.0 | -26.5 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +5.2 | +0.8 | -2.9 | -3.1 |