Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/19 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | +27.9 | -0.6 | -25.4 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 45% | 23% | 11% | 21% | +21.5 | -8.9 | -6.4 | -6.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 5,200 | 67% | 13% | 6% | 14% | -8.4 | +14.9 | -3.7 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 57% | 23% | 6% | 14% | +1.3 | +1.0 | -1.9 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 58% | 23% | 6% | 14% | +2.8 | -3.9 | +3.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 19% | 6% | 12% | +0.5 | +0.5 | -1.0 | 0.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 19% | 5% | 12% | -5.5 | -7.8 | -14.6 | +27.9 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 16,000 | 56% | 14% | 2% | 27% | -5.3 | -8.8 | +34.7 | -20.6 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 56% | 15% | 12% | 17% | -1.3 | -2.5 | +35.9 | -32.1 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 9% | 32% | 5% | -8.9 | -12.6 | +25.1 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda | 32% | 1% | 63% | 3% | -23.4 | +1.2 | +22.5 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 0% | 95% | 2% | +0.4 | +3.8 | -0.5 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.7 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,600 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | +2.5 | -0.1 | +5.4 | -7.8 |