Game · 2020-21 Regular Season

10/20 Game 1

Yudai Maehara finished 1st (+50.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Yudai Maehara's expected points by +39.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance	Shingo Hori 1st-place chance	Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance	Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance	Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change	Shingo Hori Expected pt change	Yudai Maehara Expected pt change	Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change
East 1	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 4,000	24%	24%	26%	25%	-7.3	-2.8	-1.6	+11.7
East 2	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000	19%	22%	25%	35%	-4.5	-15.9	-13.4	+33.7
East 3	Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200	13%	10%	12%	65%	+15.2	-5.0	-10.9	+0.6
East 4	Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara	18%	7%	8%	67%	+9.0	+0.3	-9.1	-0.2
South 1	Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara	23%	6%	4%	67%	+28.6	+1.9	-20.2	-10.4
South 1, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	50%	5%	1%	44%	+4.8	-1.8	-0.7	-2.3
South 1, 2 honba	Yudai Maehara tsumo 5,200	56%	4%	1%	40%	-5.6	-2.7	+8.5	-0.1
South 2	Exhaustive draw	53%	4%	2%	41%	-1.0	-5.1	-0.6	+6.8
South 3, 1 honba	Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000	49%	0%	2%	49%	-4.6	-16.2	+32.0	-11.1
South 3, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	50%	0%	9%	41%	-1.4	+1.7	+1.8	-2.1
South 3, 3 honba	Yudai Maehara ron 5,800 from Shingo Hori	51%	0%	9%	40%	-4.6	-10.0	+19.3	-4.7
South 3, 4 honba	Yudai Maehara tsumo 3,900	44%	0%	20%	35%	-9.0	-2.2	+19.0	-7.7
South 3, 5 honba	Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000	33%	0%	38%	29%	+5.6	+18.0	-13.8	-9.8
South 4	Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa	50%	2%	27%	21%	-15.2	-3.6	+39.2	-20.3

All 2020-21 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)