Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/20 Game 1
Maehara Yudai finished 1st (+50.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Maehara Yudai's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -9.7 | -0.2 | -3.4 | +13.3 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 24% | 22% | 35% | -6.0 | -17.3 | -7.0 | +30.4 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 12% | 10% | 14% | 64% | +17.5 | -3.3 | -14.5 | +0.2 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 20% | 8% | 8% | 65% | +8.5 | -1.4 | -7.2 | +0.1 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 23% | 6% | 5% | 65% | +29.2 | +1.5 | -21.2 | -9.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 5% | 1% | 44% | +4.5 | -0.3 | -1.5 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 5,200 | 56% | 5% | 1% | 38% | -3.7 | -6.1 | +10.1 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 55% | 3% | 2% | 40% | -2.9 | -2.4 | -2.8 | +8.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 1% | 1% | 50% | -5.4 | -16.2 | +31.5 | -9.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 49% | 0% | 8% | 43% | -2.2 | +0.9 | +4.5 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo | 49% | 1% | 10% | 40% | -2.3 | -9.4 | +17.7 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 3,900 | 47% | 0% | 20% | 33% | -9.8 | -1.7 | +20.0 | -8.5 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 0% | 40% | 27% | +4.7 | +17.9 | -14.6 | -8.1 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 47% | 3% | 27% | 23% | -14.6 | -4.3 | +39.2 | -20.3 |