Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/20 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+78.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +57.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +0.3 | -0.5 | +5.9 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 24% | 24% | 30% | 22% | -30.2 | -2.1 | +0.1 | +32.2 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 8% | 19% | 27% | 47% | -0.4 | +19.1 | -5.3 | -13.4 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 8% | 36% | 23% | 33% | -19.3 | -1.6 | +25.4 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 30% | 43% | 25% | -4.5 | -3.2 | +10.5 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 25% | 55% | 20% | -0.6 | +7.9 | -5.7 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 32% | 46% | 21% | +27.1 | +10.6 | -44.6 | +6.9 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 5% | 54% | 13% | 28% | -13.8 | +17.6 | -3.4 | -0.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 81% | 3% | 16% | -0.7 | -4.1 | +4.3 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 74% | 6% | 20% | -8.3 | -36.9 | -11.8 | +57.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 9,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -11.5 | 0.0 | +1.4 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +9.4 | -6.7 | -1.7 | -1.0 |