Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/20 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+78.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +55.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.4 | +2.6 | +6.3 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 22% | 26% | 29% | 23% | -30.9 | -2.6 | +1.0 | +32.4 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 7% | 20% | 27% | 46% | +1.3 | +19.5 | -8.3 | -12.5 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 37% | 21% | 34% | -19.8 | -3.8 | +27.8 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 29% | 42% | 26% | -4.5 | -3.7 | +9.6 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 24% | 53% | 23% | -0.9 | +6.0 | -2.5 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 29% | 49% | 22% | +27.6 | +11.4 | -45.0 | +5.9 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 6% | 50% | 14% | 30% | -13.2 | +19.4 | -4.1 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 81% | 3% | 15% | -1.3 | -5.8 | +3.4 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 71% | 7% | 22% | -8.4 | -35.2 | -11.8 | +55.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 9,600 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -12.3 | +0.1 | +2.1 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +10.0 | -6.9 | -1.9 | -1.1 |