Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/22 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 4 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +50.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -9.6 | +16.0 | -4.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,300 from Takamiya Mari | 20% | 37% | 21% | 23% | -2.0 | -4.1 | +5.6 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 33% | 26% | 24% | -10.9 | -10.6 | +31.8 | -10.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 10% | 22% | 51% | 16% | -23.8 | -2.8 | +26.4 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 2% | 12% | 77% | 9% | +2.9 | -0.1 | -1.5 | -1.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 3% | 12% | 77% | 8% | -1.8 | -1.2 | -2.1 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 11% | 74% | 12% | -10.9 | -17.4 | -21.8 | +50.1 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 5% | 42% | 51% | -3.0 | +9.5 | +1.2 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 10% | 46% | 44% | -7.2 | -1.2 | -3.5 | +11.9 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 6% | 35% | 58% | -1.3 | -8.1 | -5.2 | +14.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 20% | 79% | -0.2 | +0.1 | -6.2 | +6.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -1.0 | -1.1 | +0.5 | +1.6 |