Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/22 Game 2
Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +26.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Satoshi Fujisaki 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Satoshi Fujisaki Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +2.5 | -1.7 | -2.6 | +1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -13.1 | -7.8 | -5.1 | +26.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 17% | 19% | 48% | -1.9 | -3.8 | -3.1 | +8.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 13% | 14% | 16% | 56% | +8.4 | -0.4 | -10.2 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 13% | 10% | 60% | -8.5 | -8.7 | -6.7 | +23.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Satoshi Fujisaki | 7% | 5% | 4% | 85% | +9.7 | -9.3 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 6,000 | 7% | 3% | 3% | 87% | +13.8 | -5.3 | -4.1 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,200 | 15% | 2% | 3% | 80% | -5.3 | -1.2 | -2.6 | +9.2 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 2% | 2% | 91% | +14.9 | -10.4 | -0.5 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Satoshi Fujisaki tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 0% | 2% | 86% | -3.6 | +19.2 | -17.3 | +1.7 |
| South 4 | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -4.5 | -20.2 | +30.0 | -5.3 |