Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/22 Game 2
Asakura Koshin finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000, which moved Asakura Koshin's expected points by +27.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Fujisaki Satoshi 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Fujisaki Satoshi Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +3.5 | -5.1 | -1.9 | +3.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 22% | 23% | 28% | -15.9 | -5.4 | -6.2 | +27.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 18% | 18% | 49% | -0.4 | -2.7 | -1.9 | +5.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 15% | 13% | 16% | 56% | +10.0 | -3.0 | -10.3 | +3.3 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 12% | 10% | 60% | -10.6 | -6.2 | -8.2 | +24.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Fujisaki Satoshi | 7% | 5% | 3% | 85% | +10.8 | -11.6 | +1.9 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 3% | 4% | 85% | +11.8 | -2.7 | -4.8 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 3,200 | 15% | 3% | 3% | 80% | -5.5 | -2.6 | -1.2 | +9.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 1% | 3% | 91% | +16.0 | -9.4 | -2.2 | -4.5 |
| South 3 | Fujisaki Satoshi tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 0% | 2% | 86% | -4.4 | +19.5 | -17.7 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -4.5 | -20.7 | +30.5 | -5.2 |