Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/23 Game 1
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +0.1 | +4.6 | -2.6 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 27% | 23% | 23% | +4.1 | +1.7 | -7.1 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 28% | 19% | 24% | -13.4 | +26.5 | -8.5 | -4.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 51% | 13% | 19% | -3.0 | -3.4 | +7.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 16% | 48% | 17% | 19% | +0.4 | -0.1 | +14.1 | -14.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 47% | 24% | 13% | -3.6 | 0.0 | -2.4 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 48% | 22% | 15% | -6.8 | +33.6 | -9.0 | -17.8 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 85% | 8% | 3% | +30.1 | -8.8 | -11.4 | -9.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 18% | 74% | 5% | 2% | -4.4 | +2.4 | +6.3 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 11% | 79% | 8% | 2% | +9.4 | -0.3 | -8.3 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Sawazaki Makoto ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 81% | 4% | 1% | -14.5 | +7.1 | -4.2 | +11.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 95% | 0% | 3% | +3.1 | -1.6 | -3.5 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 3% | 94% | 0% | 3% | -1.4 | -1.8 | -21.3 | +24.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 1,300 from Sawazaki Makoto | 2% | 91% | 0% | 7% | +6.4 | +4.3 | -0.7 | -10.0 |