Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+69.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 27% | 26% | 25% | 23% | -4.0 | +13.5 | +0.7 | -10.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 36% | 25% | 18% | +0.3 | -4.2 | +5.1 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 22% | 31% | 29% | 18% | -9.6 | +1.9 | +0.1 | +7.6 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,900 | 16% | 33% | 28% | 23% | -2.0 | -5.1 | -5.5 | +12.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 28% | 24% | 31% | +15.9 | -6.5 | -1.0 | -8.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +0.6 | +3.6 | +4.2 | -8.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 27% | 27% | 26% | 19% | -1.0 | -0.8 | -31.2 | +33.0 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 24% | 10% | 43% | -9.3 | -14.8 | -6.5 | +30.6 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 5% | 5% | 84% | +1.7 | -0.2 | -9.2 | +7.7 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Sayaka Okada | 2% | 1% | 0% | 97% | +0.8 | +1.0 | -10.5 | +8.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -14.8 | +15.9 | -0.2 | -0.9 |