Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -23.2 | -1.3 | +23.0 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 23% | 40% | 25% | -2.8 | -9.2 | -3.9 | +15.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 17% | 36% | 38% | +4.3 | -3.3 | +3.2 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 15% | 40% | 33% | +3.4 | -6.5 | +2.0 | +1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 13% | 12% | 40% | 35% | -3.9 | -1.7 | -18.4 | +24.0 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 10% | 9% | 22% | 59% | -33.9 | +2.4 | -3.6 | +35.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 4% | 7% | 89% | +12.5 | -0.4 | +3.1 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 2% | 6% | 13% | 80% | -3.7 | +0.3 | -4.2 | +7.6 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 4% | 7% | 89% | -2.1 | -9.6 | +12.4 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 89% | -5.3 | +13.5 | -11.2 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -0.5 | 0.0 | -1.8 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +36.3 | -28.9 | +2.0 | -9.4 |