Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -23.4 | -1.4 | +24.0 | +0.7 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 23% | 41% | 24% | -3.8 | -7.5 | -3.2 | +14.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 10% | 18% | 38% | 35% | +6.1 | -4.1 | +1.5 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 12% | 16% | 40% | 33% | +2.0 | -6.2 | +3.1 | +1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 12% | 13% | 41% | 33% | -2.6 | -3.4 | -18.6 | +24.6 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 10% | 10% | 23% | 57% | -34.8 | +2.2 | -2.5 | +35.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 2% | 8% | 89% | +14.2 | -1.3 | +0.8 | -13.8 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 5% | 13% | 81% | -4.7 | +1.2 | -3.3 | +6.8 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 3% | 7% | 89% | -2.6 | -8.6 | +11.9 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -5.3 | +13.8 | -11.1 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -0.8 | -1.2 | -0.6 | +2.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +36.5 | -27.7 | +0.7 | -9.5 |