Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+69.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +39.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.1 | +8.3 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 31% | 25% | 25% | -0.2 | -4.9 | +6.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 26% | 29% | 24% | -7.8 | -3.5 | -14.7 | +25.9 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 23% | 17% | 45% | +39.3 | -10.3 | -9.0 | -20.0 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 46% | 16% | 12% | 26% | +2.1 | -12.7 | +10.7 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 16,000 | 49% | 10% | 16% | 25% | +37.0 | -20.7 | -8.3 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 8,000 | 91% | 0% | 4% | 5% | -1.3 | -4.1 | -12.0 | +17.4 |
| South 4 | Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 12,000 | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | -29.0 | -3.9 | -6.1 | +39.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 0% | 0% | 69% | +35.9 | -5.2 | +2.2 | -32.8 |