Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+69.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 16,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -6.8 | +11.1 | -0.9 | -3.4 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 31% | 24% | 23% | -1.5 | -6.5 | +7.2 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 25% | 28% | 24% | -7.8 | -5.5 | -14.0 | +27.3 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 22% | 17% | 47% | +38.0 | -9.2 | -8.9 | -19.8 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 45% | 15% | 13% | 27% | +0.6 | -11.8 | +10.9 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 16,000 | 47% | 10% | 17% | 26% | +39.7 | -21.6 | -8.9 | -9.2 |
| South 3 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 8,000 | 91% | 0% | 3% | 6% | -2.0 | -3.8 | -12.6 | +18.3 |
| South 4 | Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 12,000 | 90% | 0% | 0% | 10% | -28.6 | -4.0 | -6.0 | +38.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 0% | 0% | 69% | +35.9 | -5.2 | +2.4 | -33.2 |