Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/27 Game 1
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+79.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Murakami Jun tsumo 16,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 5,800 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +13.9 | -13.8 | +2.7 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Wakutsu Akira | 34% | 17% | 25% | 24% | -0.7 | +21.3 | -0.7 | -19.9 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 28% | 24% | 14% | -3.8 | -13.0 | +21.3 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 16,000 | 29% | 18% | 41% | 12% | +42.5 | -8.6 | -25.8 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 72% | 9% | 12% | 6% | +5.8 | -0.6 | -1.1 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Murakami Jun tsumo 7,800 | 81% | 6% | 10% | 3% | +14.0 | -5.9 | -3.5 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 91% | 3% | 5% | 1% | -2.5 | -5.2 | +3.4 | +4.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 93% | 2% | 4% | 2% | +1.7 | -11.4 | +10.6 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 95% | 0% | 5% | 1% | +3.0 | -2.8 | -0.9 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 5,200 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +5.7 | +8.8 | +1.1 | -15.5 |