Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/27 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+79.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Jun Murakami tsumo 16,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +45.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 5,800 from Shingo Hori | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +17.7 | -15.3 | -1.9 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Akira Wakutsu | 36% | 17% | 23% | 24% | -3.8 | +20.1 | +0.7 | -17.0 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 28% | 24% | 16% | -5.6 | -9.9 | +22.3 | -6.9 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 20% | 42% | 12% | +45.4 | -11.0 | -25.5 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 72% | 9% | 13% | 6% | +5.3 | +0.2 | -1.0 | -4.5 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 7,800 | 80% | 7% | 11% | 3% | +14.1 | -6.6 | -5.9 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 3% | 5% | 1% | -2.1 | -5.4 | +5.8 | +1.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 92% | 1% | 5% | 2% | +1.8 | -11.8 | +9.9 | +0.1 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 94% | 0% | 5% | 1% | +2.9 | -1.8 | -1.2 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 5,200 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +5.8 | +8.8 | +1.4 | -16.1 |