Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Akira Wakutsu 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Akira Wakutsu Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,800 from Akira Wakutsu | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +14.4 | -0.4 | -15.3 | +1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 23% | 16% | 26% | -18.5 | +33.1 | -7.6 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 49% | 12% | 19% | -0.7 | -2.3 | +5.8 | -2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akira Wakutsu tsumo 1,500 | 19% | 49% | 15% | 17% | -1.7 | -1.4 | +4.2 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 19% | 47% | 16% | 18% | +23.4 | +0.5 | -3.2 | -20.7 |
| East 4 | Akira Wakutsu ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 33% | 46% | 12% | 9% | +1.0 | +3.2 | +9.4 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 32% | 49% | 15% | 4% | -9.2 | +8.2 | +1.3 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori ron 16,000 from Ken Sonoda | 21% | 60% | 16% | 3% | +12.3 | -56.1 | +0.2 | +43.7 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 45% | 12% | 21% | 23% | +32.6 | -12.5 | -15.0 | -5.2 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 89% | 1% | 1% | 10% | +7.0 | -14.3 | -1.0 | +8.3 |