Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+60.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Wakutsu Akira 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Wakutsu Akira Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Wakutsu Akira | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +14.8 | 0.0 | -13.2 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 24% | 17% | 23% | -18.8 | +33.4 | -8.9 | -5.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 51% | 11% | 19% | -1.4 | -3.1 | +7.9 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Wakutsu Akira tsumo 1,500 | 19% | 49% | 14% | 17% | -3.2 | -2.8 | +6.2 | -0.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 46% | 18% | 18% | +24.6 | +0.9 | -4.2 | -21.3 |
| East 4 | Wakutsu Akira ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo | 33% | 46% | 13% | 8% | +1.1 | +2.2 | +9.3 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 34% | 47% | 16% | 3% | -8.7 | +9.4 | +0.5 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 16,000 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 60% | 16% | 3% | +11.9 | -56.6 | +0.6 | +44.2 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 12% | 20% | 23% | +32.5 | -13.3 | -15.3 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 89% | 0% | 1% | 10% | +7.0 | -13.1 | -1.2 | +7.4 |