Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/29 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+70.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +49.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +7.6 | +0.8 | +0.6 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 25% | 25% | 19% | +3.7 | +2.3 | -3.8 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 26% | 24% | 17% | +35.2 | -12.4 | -11.6 | -11.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 14% | 12% | 9% | -12.5 | +21.8 | -4.5 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 52% | 28% | 12% | 9% | +8.1 | -5.2 | -1.7 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 62% | 21% | 10% | 8% | +10.7 | +1.3 | -3.7 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 74% | 17% | 5% | 4% | -29.5 | +0.6 | -1.2 | +30.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 44% | 27% | 10% | 19% | -6.5 | +7.6 | -2.4 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 1,500 | 37% | 34% | 9% | 20% | +13.7 | -2.7 | -3.8 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 51% | 29% | 7% | 13% | +11.9 | -1.0 | +2.1 | -13.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 64% | 24% | 6% | 6% | -6.5 | +22.7 | -17.4 | +1.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 49% | 44% | 2% | 5% | +9.6 | -5.6 | -2.0 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto tsumo 6,000 | 64% | 32% | 1% | 3% | -3.5 | -3.1 | +14.5 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 63% | 31% | 3% | 3% | +3.7 | -4.8 | -27.1 | +28.2 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 19% | 0% | 9% | -30.2 | +49.1 | -3.6 | -15.4 |