Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+55.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +25.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -12.1 | +25.8 | -6.0 | -7.7 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 16% | 43% | 21% | 20% | -7.4 | -2.2 | +0.5 | +9.1 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari | 12% | 41% | 22% | 26% | -0.9 | -2.1 | -3.3 | +6.3 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,600 from Shiratori Sho | 12% | 40% | 18% | 31% | -1.1 | +10.4 | +1.1 | -10.3 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 10% | 52% | 17% | 20% | -16.3 | +1.5 | -0.9 | +15.7 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 3% | 51% | 16% | 29% | +25.7 | +6.1 | -1.1 | -30.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 9% | 65% | 14% | 12% | -4.5 | -6.3 | +8.3 | +2.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 56% | 20% | 13% | +25.6 | +7.1 | -11.4 | -21.3 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 18% | 68% | 8% | 6% | -0.9 | +16.7 | -6.5 | -9.3 |