Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/30 Game 1
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+55.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -11.2 | +24.6 | -4.6 | -8.8 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 17% | 44% | 20% | 20% | -7.9 | -0.1 | -0.6 | +8.7 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 13% | 43% | 20% | 25% | -1.5 | -2.3 | -2.0 | +5.9 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,600 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 42% | 17% | 29% | +0.2 | +10.1 | +0.7 | -11.0 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 11% | 53% | 17% | 19% | -18.0 | -0.8 | -0.5 | +19.3 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 3% | 49% | 15% | 33% | +27.4 | +6.5 | -0.6 | -33.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 64% | 14% | 12% | -5.5 | -5.4 | +6.4 | +4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 10% | 57% | 19% | 15% | +27.1 | +5.5 | -11.9 | -20.7 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 21% | 66% | 6% | 7% | -2.3 | +18.1 | -4.4 | -11.4 |