Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,200 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 25% | 27% | 22% | -14.0 | -0.1 | +0.3 | +13.8 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara | 17% | 24% | 26% | 33% | -29.7 | +33.6 | -2.9 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 4% | 50% | 19% | 28% | -4.3 | -4.3 | +0.9 | +7.7 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 44% | 20% | 33% | -2.8 | +8.6 | -5.9 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 55% | 12% | 30% | -6.8 | -21.1 | -13.4 | +41.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 19% | 4% | 76% | +16.3 | -0.9 | -7.8 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 22% | 4% | 72% | +27.5 | -9.2 | -11.7 | -6.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 20% | 4% | 67% | +4.7 | +0.7 | -1.4 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 21% | 4% | 61% | -16.6 | +33.2 | -4.7 | -12.0 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Yudai Maehara | 3% | 55% | 3% | 39% | -4.9 | +6.8 | +0.1 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 64% | 2% | 33% | -1.7 | -2.3 | +0.2 | +3.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 62% | 2% | 36% | -5.1 | -1.8 | +8.8 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 62% | 3% | 35% | +1.2 | -24.9 | -4.4 | +28.1 |
| South 4 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 87% | +16.1 | -7.0 | -9.3 | +0.1 |