Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+57.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +43.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,200 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -12.1 | -2.2 | +3.7 | +10.6 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 17% | 25% | 26% | 33% | -30.0 | +31.4 | -0.3 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 4% | 47% | 21% | 28% | -4.6 | -1.5 | -2.8 | +8.9 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 45% | 18% | 34% | -2.1 | +7.6 | -2.9 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 54% | 14% | 30% | -7.3 | -22.5 | -13.2 | +43.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 17% | 6% | 76% | +16.0 | +0.2 | -8.0 | -8.2 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 21% | 5% | 71% | +29.4 | -8.8 | -13.9 | -6.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 20% | 4% | 66% | +1.8 | +1.3 | +0.2 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 23% | 5% | 61% | -13.4 | +34.5 | -6.4 | -14.8 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Maehara Yudai | 3% | 59% | 3% | 35% | -6.1 | +6.6 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 66% | 2% | 31% | -2.0 | -5.0 | +0.6 | +6.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 59% | 2% | 39% | -5.2 | -1.0 | +9.5 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 61% | 3% | 36% | +1.1 | -24.3 | -4.9 | +28.1 |
| South 4 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 87% | +16.4 | -7.1 | -9.4 | 0.0 |