Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/2 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +30.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Nobuhiro Ishibashi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Nobuhiro Ishibashi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -4.1 | +2.9 | +3.0 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 23% | 28% | 25% | 25% | +13.8 | -8.2 | -3.7 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 32% | 20% | 22% | 25% | +1.5 | -17.2 | -3.3 | +19.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 11% | 19% | 37% | +5.3 | -2.6 | -4.6 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 37% | 10% | 15% | 38% | +30.0 | -2.0 | -0.4 | -27.6 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 71% | 7% | 11% | 12% | -12.9 | -6.1 | -8.9 | +28.0 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,500 | 54% | 5% | 9% | 33% | +9.4 | -7.5 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi | 68% | 0% | 6% | 26% | +3.2 | +5.4 | -17.9 | +9.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 73% | 0% | 0% | 27% | +1.5 | +4.1 | -5.9 | +0.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 74% | 0% | 0% | 26% | +10.6 | -15.0 | +19.7 | -15.3 |