Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +35.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 23% | 27% | 26% | 24% | -3.4 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +2.9 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 26% | 26% | 26% | -4.9 | -11.6 | +22.5 | -6.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 18% | 44% | 21% | -7.0 | -7.2 | -21.1 | +35.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 13% | 14% | 23% | 50% | +3.4 | -4.8 | +1.0 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 11% | 24% | 51% | -9.4 | -2.5 | -1.9 | +13.8 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 8% | 17% | 70% | -1.0 | -7.2 | -1.0 | +9.2 |
| South 3 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 2% | 12% | 84% | -12.2 | +29.4 | -18.7 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 1% | 5% | 3% | 92% | -8.2 | -13.3 | +23.2 | -1.7 |