Game · 2020-21 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 23% | 26% | 25% | 27% | -2.4 | +0.3 | +0.5 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 26% | 25% | 28% | -4.3 | -11.9 | +24.1 | -7.9 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 17% | 43% | 21% | -9.0 | -7.7 | -19.4 | +36.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 13% | 24% | 51% | +5.9 | -3.2 | -0.3 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 11% | 24% | 49% | -10.5 | -2.5 | -3.4 | +16.4 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 5% | 8% | 18% | 70% | -2.5 | -6.1 | +0.3 | +8.4 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 1% | 12% | 84% | -11.2 | +27.7 | -18.9 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 4% | 2% | 93% | -8.3 | -12.8 | +23.1 | -2.1 |